Sunday, September 22, 2024

RCP Top Battlegrounds: Tied

   Since I said something about the betting markets, I guess I'll also point out: RCP "top battlegrounds" are tied.
   I've never seen that this measure mattered much, because it's individual swing states that matter--and PA is what really matters this time.
   RCP has Harris up by 0.7 in PA--but that seems to be an illusion based on old, implausibly high blue polls like the anomalous Quinnipiac and NYT/Sienna polls.
   Sidebar: it wouldn't surprise me if the Pubs lose NC over this crazy Robinson thing. Now, I have no idea whether the accusations are true--I just haven't looked into them. But if they are, there's no way that guy can be Governor.

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