Sunday, May 12, 2019

David Epstein: "The Peculiar Blindness Of Experts"

I suspect that the evidence is more equivocal than he's making it out to be. But this is way worth thinking about.
Incidentally, I happened to be part of a very different IARPA grant while the prediction market stuff was going on, and had a very loose association with one of the losing prediction markets/ideas.


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