Saletan: Why Roe Is Not In Danger
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The shift in views is compounded by a shift in intensity. Pro-choicers outnumber pro-lifers. But pro-lifers are more dedicated, and this gives them an advantage. In exit polls, when you zero in on the people who say abortion was their top voting issue, they’re more likely to be pro-life than pro-choice. That pro-life advantage diminishes, however, as the issue’s salience rises and the pool of abortion-driven voters increases. An influx of pro-choicers dilutes and eventually exceeds the pro-life faction. You can see this in presidential exit pollsfrom 1984 to 2000. The larger the percentage of people who cast their ballots based on abortion, the smaller the pro-life advantage.
posted by Winston Smith at
2:12 PM
4 Comments:
Just to clarify, they are not pro-life, they are pro-birth. Once the children are born the "Pro-life" group doesn't appear to give a damn.
This is a pretty weak reed. Roe is a national ruling. The goal is to kill it by a thousand cuts in the states. Sure, abortion will still be legal in some states. But it will be banned or regulated out of existence in others. As for Kennedy vs Kavanaugh: the Federal Society does much harder pre-screening now.
Re: pro-life vs. pro-birth
The Catholic Church is the largest charitable organization in the world. $100 billion a year to healthcare, $5 billion a year to charity to help the poor. Lots more at the individual parish level and Catholic colleges. Plenty of pro-life folks care about the whole person.
Say goodbye to Roe.
And when happens, don't be surprised when Republicans try (and maybe succeed) in passing a national abortion ban.
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