Friday, July 26, 2024

Freddie DeBoer: Candidates Should be Chosen Democratically; Neither Biden nor Harris was

I wasn't paying enough attention to this important point.
   But the You have always loved Kamala campaign really got my attention.
First the Dems decreed that Joe was the Beloved Leader, a great man who all Democrats adore and support. Then, like flipping a switch, it was Harris. And they're selling her like an iPhone.
   I'm getting more and more fed up with Trump...which, a priori, I might have thought impossible. The stupid comments about the Ten Commandments in school, and about flag-burning in particular revolt me. Admittedly, I don't know much about Vance, but I don't much like what I've seen. (Again, I haven't yet read his book. Gonna go pull that off the shelf as soon as I'm done with this screed.) I continue to think that Trump really blew that one, choosing a Mini Me Trump instead of someone who would take the Trumpy edge off and appeal to centrists--Youngkin, Vivek, Tulsi, maybe Rubio...
   But the Dems now just seem to always one-up him, revulsion-wise.
   The brainless Hey, kids, Kamala is cool! stuff...holy crap...
   If this strategy wins it for them, it'll be a reductio ad absurdum of American democracy.
   And all this without any real primaries, without any significant chance for the Dem rank and file to have their say.
    The Democratic party elites--the source of much of our current predicament--are basically just selecting candidates.
   I rather hope there's a train-wreck convention in which this is challenged, even though that could produce a stronger candidate. For one thing, I'd like to see them have to switch to a third candidate and insist that Democrats have always love him/her/zxxir, too... 

You Will Love Harris...You Already Love Harris...You Have Always Loved Harris...

The Woketarian cult is just creepy as shit.

They exploded out of the gate with this stuff. It's like they're marketing a new iPhone.

Political persuasion is gross, of course, but I think this may be even grosser and creepier than anything I've seen previously in American politics.

Harris Gains on Trump, But is Still Behind

Thursday, July 25, 2024

German Government Knew Masks Didn't Work, "Pandemic of the Unvaccinated" was False...but Hid the Evidence

Apparently, anyway.

Peter Savodnik at TFP: "Gaslighting the Public on Kamala Harris as 'Border Czar'"

Straight outta Oceania...
This isn't just one incident.
This is representative.
This is what we're dealing with on the left

Progressives treat 1984 as an instruction manual.

Who controls the past...controls the future; who controls the present controls the past.

"Kamala Harris Was Never The Border Czar" Edition

Trump Leads Harris in Key Battlegrounds

Too early to tell, really.

Down to +2 in PA.
She's gonna pick Shapiro, isn't she?

Trump's an Idiot: Flag-Burning Edition

Trump's an idiot, and more than capable of losing to Kamala Harris.

Honestly, who doesn't know about Texas v. Johnson? 

He steamrolled his way to the nomination. He (IMO) blew his VP pick. He fell for the early debate ploy. Now he could well be in trouble. He had it won against Biden, so the Dems just forced a do-over by revealing what they'd been concealing--Biden's impairment. Now the left has cranked up its distortion-field generators to 11. News media and their "fact-checkers," Hollywood, pop music, lefty Twixxer, TikTok...and academia/"public intellectuals" (I'm sure) are all on-message: Harris is cool (and Trump isn't). If this works--if it actually catches on--it's a tough message to beat. Because there's basically nothing to it. She's young(er), reasonably attractive, female, black(ish), and far to the left. She is "unburdened by what has been" in the sense that she can, just by being vague, represent herself as kinda sorta pro-Palestine...and that may well be enough to get back the disaffected youth vote.

The least Trump might do is to stop saying overtly retarded shit.

But that, of course, has always been asking too much of him...

We coulda had DeSantis...

RCP: Republicans Should Expect Democrats to Make it a Closer Race

Wednesday, July 24, 2024

Biden, Harris, etc.

I was inclined to think that Biden would be replaced, though I'm not sure I said it here--so doesn't really count. For a couple of days, I leaned the other direction when it sounded like he was prepared to go to the mat. But I thought the decisive factor was: he was losing. Bigly. Dems were whistling past the graveyard, proclaiming their undying allegiance to him, and insisting that he was going to win... But he wasn't. He was losing in every swing state other than MN, and losing by a lot in PA and some others. VA now seems back in play. If he had been winning, he'd still be the candidate. Now they are all proclaiming their undying love for Kamala, greatest and most perfect and beautiful and perfect candidate of all teh timez...
   Harris doesn't seem like a great candidate to me, but she doesn't have to be. The media covered up Biden's decline until it couldn't be covered up anymore--or perhaps until it wasn't worth the risk. The early debates were, IMO, a way to get rid of him, the Pubs fell for it, and it worked. I suppose that's a bit conspiratorial-sounding--so maybe take it with more grains of salt than normal... Then media turned on him and did the Dems' work by getting rid of him. I think it was basically clear that was what was going on in the Stephanopoulos interview. Just about all GS did was grind away on the age/health stuff.
   Now Kamala is a younger, hipper, DEIer, female, blackish leftist--the perfect canvas onto which the media and the left (but I repeat myself) can paint the picture they want. The Dems have turned on a dime re: the age issue, and now they proclaim Trump too old. And, of course, an old rich white guy is the worst thing you can be, demographically, in the eyes of contemporary Dems and the kiddies (but, again, I basically repeat myself.) And, of course, he is Trump... That whole thing. In addition to unhipness, he's a genuinely terrible candidate in all the ways we already know about. He shouldn't even be in the conversation. (Which isn't to say that he isn't right about a lot of things...for he is, he is...)
   Though the blue team is in a spot of trouble they are very, very good at these kinds of political tactics, and they've managed to snatch uncertainty from the jaws of near-certain defeat. With the help of their media propaganda wing...well, I'm very concerned is the thing. Pop culture is already on the job. Beyonce has apparently given the Harris campaign permission to use some song or other. I'll bet anyone $100 bucks that at least one pop song will be written (or modified) for her. She'll probably show up at Taylor Swift concert. 
   Oh and: there's speculation that she could pick the PA governor as her running mate... Which would be a disaster, especially after Trump chose a veep who doesn't help him at all.
   Basically the Dems lost the election and now get an anticipatory do-over. It's rather like the Pubs have to win two elections to win. Well, at least two. If Kamala polls bad, they can have a third go at it at their convention. Maybe this is a glimmer of hope: they've basically gone all-in on Harris, probably because they know they'd incur the wrath of their racialist, identity politics base by going around a black woman. But...if she's losing convincingly by the convention, the Democrat elites might, as I suggested, take a third shot at it...angering young, female progressives they stirred up for her...
   But that's a stretch.
   Also: speculative.
   And, as should go without saying, they've already started with the inevitable All opposition to Kamala is racism.
   I'm thinking of giving up on politics, actually. This shit is all stupid. And a waste of time. We used to have Presidents like Washington, Jefferson, Madison, Lincoln... Now we've got a reality show con man vs. a far-left DEI hire.*
   I tremble for my country when I consider that God (metaphorically speaking) does not like dumbassery, and that his righteous disgust cannot sleep forever.


* Of course it has been decreed: admitting that Harris was a DEI hire is...do I have to say it? No, I don't...

Harsanyi: By the Way, Harris is a Dangerous Authoritarian

I haven't seen any convincing refutations of these sorts of arguments yet, so I probably don't have the whole picture. But the half of the story I do have is prima facie alarming.
   I was against Biden mainly because it was clear that he would be basically a rubber-stamp for the policies of the extreme progressive left. But I've also long said that he was probably the least-bad of the plausible Democrat options.
   Thus far, Harris does seem worse.
   But I honestly haven't paid much attention to her, so I'm willing to have my mind changed.

WashEx: Kamala the Extremist

link
I really don't know much about Harris, TBH. She was supposed to be Border Czar, but didn't seem to do anything. Unless you count deploying to the border one of the left's favorite bits of BS, the "root causes" fallacy: when there's a problem that the left doesn't consider a problem, or doesn't want to solve, or especially when it doesn't want to do what's necessary to solve it, they tend to argue that we shouldn't work toward the obvious solution "because that won't address the root causes." Then they pick a "root cause" that they already want to do something about, and that will allow them to advance their agenda and work toward a solution they do like. Their favorite "root cause" of the flood of illegals across the Mexican border was...you can guess it... Climate change! Yes, see, these are climate migrants! We mean refugees! Chased out of their homes by the searing heat waves producing instant desertification, the frigid cold waves freezing whole cities and regions under miles-thick glaciers, the 1,000 mph hurricanes, and the rampaging giant monsters awakened from their millennia of slumber beneath the melting Arctic ice.
   Of course this fallacy is, well, stupid.
   First, and re: this case in particular: no. There are basically no "climate refugees." Climate change isn't effecting that kind of change. This is part of the left's general strategy of attributing all extreme weather to anthropogenic global warming. This strategy is of course applied selectively. Is it cold? Just weather, bigot! Don't confuse climate and weather! Is it hot? EVIDENCE OF GLOBAL WARMING WE'RE ALL GOING TO DIIIIIIEEEE..... Though also: is it cold? ALSO GLOBAL WARMING BIGOT!!1 WAIT, WE MEAN CLIMATE CHANGE...
   Even the IPCC says that there's no known link between CC/AGW and observed extreme weather (with the exception of heat waves, which they say we might be able to link to it.)
   Not to put too fine a point on it: we don't tend to solve immediate practical problems by shunning immediate, effective practical solutions in favor of addressing "root causes"--even the real ones rather than the politically correct ones. Trump mitigated the illegal alien problem by beefing up border security, getting to work on a bigger and better wall, and, basically, making potential border-jumpers understand that they weren't going to be welcome here. Biden undid all that by inviting illegals to "surge to the border." (Technically, he only urged asylum-seekers to do so...but they basically all say they're asylum-seekers...) And catch and release. And...and...and...
   News flash: people react to incentives.
   Which brings us to the other, realer alleged root causes: violence and shitty economies. Now, these are real and, if we can afford it, I'd like to see us help nations south of the border address them. But it is idiotic to pretend that this is our only option for stopping the deluge. To stop the deluge, we need more enforcement--including more fencing. Lots more fencing. Basically, to stop the flood we need to close the flood gates rather than learning to control the rain. Once we've done everything immediate that's cost-effective, then we can consider addressing putative "root causes." The real ones, anyway. I recommend not addressing the imaginary ones...
   If you fall off a ledge and break your leg, the solution is to have a doctor set the bone--not to build a guard rail. If a cop stops a drunk driver, the important course of action is to get him off the road, not to start lobbying for prohibition. Got a test tomorrow? Study! Don't start reading a book on your procrastination problem... 
   Well, you get it.
   Basically, the Dems want us to spend money and resources on climate change, and give aid to countries south of the border...but they don't particularly care about stopping the migrant invasion. It's not a problem to them--or wasn't until it got so bad it harmed their electoral standing. So their policy was: hey, we don't wanna spend money on that! We'd rather spend money on things we care about and say it was to address that problem that we don't consider to be a problem...cool?  
   Anyway...uh...Kamala...
   She'd be worse than Biden.
   No sale.

Tuesday, July 23, 2024

How Twitter Generates Lunacy

Well, two of the most prominent ways, anyway:
   Spin and conspiracy theories.
   As soon as there's some event, announcement, whatever, the two major sides, red and blue, get to it.
Red-teamers start spinning The New Thing hard rightward; blue-teamers start spinning it hard leftward. Many different angles of spin will emerge on each side--along with some unaffiliated spin elsewhereward--but most of it will be in a major-partisan direction.
   And much of the spin will be tangled up in conspiratorial thinking sooner than later.

   Trump shot!?
   Red team: heroic Trump! USSS DEI!--lookit that woman who can't find her holster! She is small and pudgy! What's she doing there? Biden denied Trump additional agents! BLUE-TEAM CONSPIRACY!! Why didn't they take out the shooter faster? Fist-pump Trump--hooray!!! Bravest and "most physically courageous President since Teddy Roosevelt!* 
   Blue team: Trump not shot at all! Hit by glass! Much less heroic! In fact: a hoax! He cut his own ear with something concealed in his hand! Or the shooter was a red-team plant who...[checks notes] uh...nicked his ear on purpose [looks off-stage, incredulous; you people expect me to read this stuff?] Not heroic at all! Trump stood up and pumped fist--endangered USSS agents! Shooter was Republican!! Ha ha why did he want his shoes? Lifts?
   Now...granted, the Trump shooting was weird, to say the least. I've been taking a wee break from the madness...but...USSS saw the shooter on the roof twenty-nine minutes before he shot??? That degree of (seeming) incompetence is just gonna produce conspiracy theories... 
   Um and...not to go easy on the red team here, but: this Biden disappearing act...it's pretty weird. Of course I do not think that Biden is dead. Ha ha! No! That would be nuts! But...making the announcement via Twixxer and then...nothing? Alread against the background of age and illness?
   Anyway.
   Yes, some conspiracy theories are less crazy or at least more understandable than others.
   But that's a different point for a different time.
   Here I'm really more interested in the spin than the conspiracies.
   The immediacy and diligence with which the team spin everything in a way that's favorable to their tribe is a sight to behold.
   When Biden dropped out, it was suddenly Heroic! Noble Joe puts country first! Trump would never do this! [Sidebar: this is actually pretty much exactly what I expect Trump has in mind...but that's just speculation.] NOW TRUMP IS THE OLDEST CANDIDATE EVER AND YOU WERE JUST COMPLAINING ABOUT THAT WITH JOE SO...!!!!!
   The other guys: We told you Biden was too old and demented! The Dems lied to us all! If he can't campaign, he can't run the country! 25th Amendment! The MSM is blue-team propaganda! Why didn't they know? Why didn't they tell us?
   Of course there's a grain of truth in a lot of this from both sides. And if you sift through it appropriately, you can find ideas and arguments worthy of consideration. But it's the routine partisan dogmatism that's so stupid and tedious.
   Oh and: the conspiracy theorizing.
   Twixxer is like an irrationality generator/amplifier.
   Blah blah blah.





* Sigh. This ridiculous claim may have irritated me most of all... As other have pointed out: Eisenhower, SHAEF Commander? Bush '41, dive-bomber pilot? Jimmy Carter, submarine nuclear technician? I'd add: Harry Truman, artillery Captain, WWI? Even Bush '43 was an interceptor pilot... That's not even trying. Just about everybody up to Clinton served in some way or other, no? [Almost forgot: JFK.]

Well, I Guess I'm Finally Gonna Hafta Read Hillbilly Elegy...

Though, being from the Ozarks, I am skeptical about the existence of Ohio Hillbillies...

Monday, July 22, 2024

That Woody Allen Quote Again, Mostly Tongue-in-Cheek

More than any other time in history, mankind faces a crossroads. One path leads to despair and utter hopelessness. The other, to total extinction. Let us pray we have the wisdom to choose correctly.

Back

Went on vacation. Been trying to ignore the political turmoil...mostly unsuccessfully...

My best wishes to Joe Biden. This has obviously been a difficult time for him. Though I've disagreed with him about most things over the last few years, he's earned a peaceable retirement. I don't think this is a time for him to be so much in the limelight. We should all be pulling for him, generally speaking, in his last few months as President.

Saturday, July 13, 2024

Well...

 ...so much for forgetting about politics and shit...

Trump Survives Assassination Attempt

He was going to win anyway, but he's definitely going to win now.



REPUBLICANS POUNCE on: Trump Assassination Attempt

MAGA REACS WITH OUTRAGE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1111111111111111111oneoneoneoneuno

I hate the MSM so very much.

Assassination Attempt Against Trump?

The Gourds, Gin and Juice

Let's forget about politics and shit for awhile.



Youngkin Back in VP Contention?

An exciting possibility, IMO. Youngkin is a good candidate with exactly the kind of reasonable, civil, centrist approach and demeanor that could help offset Trump's intemperate nuttiness. VA is currently considered back in play, with Biden +2.2, but with no recent polling. And importantly: Winsome Sears, VA Lt. Governor, would become governor and be eligible to run in the next gubernatorial election. (Governors in the OD are normally prohibited from serving two consecutive terms.) Sears is, herself, a strong, compelling candidate.
   And a Sears governorship would have very important effects on SCHEV (the State Council for Higher Education of Virginia), and on the Boards of Visitors of VA public universities. Youngkin has moved them in the right direction, but, of course, a Democratic governor would just move them right back again.
   I don't know much about J. D. Vance or Bergum. They may be great, but neither seems likely to move the Electoral College count. Rubio could help with Hispanics--and that could be big. He's from FL, but there are ways to get around the prohibition against POTUS and VPOTUS being from the same state. Cheney, recall, was actually from TX. I dislike that sort of thing, but whatever.
   So Youngkin could, plausibly, bring in more centrist votes and bring Virginia.

Batya Ungar-Sargon: The Truth About Trump? He's a Moderate

Yes.
   He's basically a '90s liberal.
   Biden may be, too...what's left of him... But (as I predicted back in 2020) he's basically a rubber stamp for the Dems' progressive-left platform and the ideas of the progressive leftists on his staff.
   Personally, Biden's always been a clown--and he's been a crook for some time. Trump, OTOH, is a clown and a long-time con man. Neither person is admirable. But Biden can usually keep it together in public and act like a normal human being. Trump often can't. In terms of temperament and demeanor, Biden wins.
   But in terms of policy, Trump is largely on target, Biden is, well, again: just a rubber stamp for the insanity that has possessed the Democrat party. And the Democrats don't even realize how radical they've become. Mainly because they always paint the Republican candidate as Hitler...and then they believe their own hysterical fabrications.
   They're currently driving themselves berserk over the Heritage Foundation's Project 2025. People keep trying to tell them that it's not Trump's plan, that he doesn't agree with it, that it's largely at odds with his Agenda 47 and the GOP platform--not to mention Trump's long-standing policy positions... But you know them. It's always hard to tell whether they actually believe something or are saying it to be politically correct--or for political effect. The polls and Biden's decline are making them desperate. They're grabbing hold of Project 2025 like a life preserver.
   ELECTING TRUMPITLER MEANSTHE END OF OUR DEMOCRACY(tm)!!!!1111
   WHAT ABOUT THE (trans, of course) CHILDREN?????
   Democracy, you see, cannot survive without brainwashing and sexually mutilating children.
   I think Montesquieu says that somewhere...
   Anyway. They're very good at propaganda.
   So I guess we'll see.

Friday, July 12, 2024

Do Dems Want Noncitizen Voting?: Biden Officially Opposes SAVE Act

Hm. Flood the nation with illegal aliens and oppose proof of citizenship for voting... There does seem to be a readily-available explanation for this...
   Each of the Dems' actions on illegal immigration is bizarre individually. Taken together, however...connecting the dots...it doesn't look good. At all.
   Honestly, the mad spiral the Democrats are in is perhaps the most horrifying thing I've seen in American politics in my lifetime. Even just on this issue, their descent has been dizzying. From the standard, sane: legal immigration is good, but illegal immigration is bad, to, basically: you are a racist if you oppose or impede illegal immigration in any way, to: Sanctuary cities! Refuse to enforce racist immigration laws!, to, in some Democrat strongholds: Illegal aliens can vote (in local elections)... And it's becoming more plausible to think that they've got designs on pushing to normalize illegal aliens voting across the board. Some lefties have already argued that everyone in the world should be able to vote in American elections, on the grounds that our actions affect them so much. And all this in, what, about 15 or 20 years?
   There's a slippery slope element in that argument. Contrary to popular believe, slippery slope arguments are not always fallacious. Some are, some aren't. Since the left tends to move leftward, that makes such arguments stronger in that context than they ordinarily are.
   I got lots of flack for arguing, about 15 years ago, that the progressive/Democrat position on this was becoming more and more difficult to distinguish from open borders. But I was right.
   It's beyond any doubt that the radical left wing wants noncitizen voting. And undoubtedly it's already happening to some extent--though the evidence I've seen indicates that it's not enough to matter much. But, all other points aside, elections are as much about transparency and confidence as about the final tally--elections must not only be fair, we must have good reason to be confident that they're fair. So we should pass the SAVE act.
   Less-radical, more pragmatic Dems probably realize that the act will impede their efforts to squeeze votes out of indifferent, uninformed populations that they've come to rely on. The GOP probably realizes that, too. Neither side can really say this, though. At any rate, that's my guess. To some extent this fight isn't about what it's about. 
   I side with the GOP here on both issues, though. I actually don't want either party to extract votes from the uninformed and unmotivated. Basically, if you don't care enough to vote, I don't want you to. Even before I was redpilled, I sometimes said to my students: don't vote if you don't know what's going on. Be informed. And if you're informed, you'll probably be motivated to vote. But motivating yourself to vote just to vote, without any understanding of the issues, just makes things worse.
   Hell, I shouldn't have voted until like ten years ago, truth be told...