Monday, October 15, 2012

Recent Romney Bounce Did Not Start With Debate

There's been chatter about this.

The debate probably didn't help anything, but it at least doesn't seem to have started the problem.

It's also worth thinking a bit about something Wang has suggested. The media reaction was important, and it's at least a little bit weird that three conservatives pollsters, including the clearly partisan Rasmussen, came out of the gates with polls showing big Romney gains asap after the debates. Funny.

1 Comments:

Blogger Spencer said...

Ezra Klein had an interesting article reviewing some work by political scientists which basically showed there is no evidence that debates ever have any significant effect on Presidential elections. That sure helped make me feel better!

6:59 AM  

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