Friday, March 06, 2026

Iran War: Good Idea or Bad Idea?

I'm thinking about it...but...just for the record...I don't know.

Both, probably.

I don't have anything like all the information Trump et al. have. 

No war gets presumption, of course.
And, as others have noted, Trump et al. haven't even really tried to justify this publicly.

It wouldn't be that hard to get me on board. The Iranian regime is godawful (as it were). And, were the decision up to me, I expect that slaughtering tens of thousands (?) of their own people protesting for freedom would have been the last straw.
Or...funding and training Hamas for 10/7...that was just about the last straw, too...
Lots of last straws with these motherfuckers...

OTOH, I don't know enough about Iran to know what we can expect if the regime collapses.
I certainly don't want another wave of ME refugees to Europe...though Persians fleeing an Islamic theocracy >> than...well...you know...

So basically I don't know and there's no practical way for me to learn enough in the next six months to have an informed opinion.

Forced to say something, I might say: We know what Iran's trajectory was like before this. This doesn't seem to be at all like the idiotic Iraq debacle. These guys have made it clear what their endpoint is like. Our options are: waste 'em now or let 'em wipe out their people, stockpile more missiles, and build nukes... Don't forget that they turned down our offer of basically unlimited reactor fuel in favor of enriching their own uranium...and there's only one plausible reason for that...especially given their vast oil reserves... And, as I understand it, the regime is basically an apocalyptic death cult...so...there's that...

No good options, it seems.

But maybe the option we've taken is the less-terrible one...

But I do not know.

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