RSM: Coronavirus: The Wrong Numbers / And: Why Isn't the MSM Reporting On This?

Is this right?

Isn't the emerging evidence showing that the predictions have been way high? I mean...that in and of itself is fine. Nobody expects those making the predictions to work miracles. Nobody expects them to see the future.

But why isn't the media reporting on it?

Am I missing something? Is RSM missing something? I'm not sleeping and my brain isn't processing information well. McCain must be missing something and so must I.

There is absolutely no way for the numbers to be that wrong and for the media to not be reporting on it...right? Especially to the good side...right? That would be insane...right?

Things just aren't adding up. Are they? What am I missing?

Perhaps there's something important they aren't telling us--e.g. that they've acquired good evidence that Wuhan coronavirus infection doesn't produce immunity. I could imagine this information paralyzing them with panic--both because of how horrific that information would be, and because of the public reaction to it. 

If the predictions really are as wildly high/pessimistic as they appear to be, this would, I think, be something of a scandal...especially if, as we're told, the people developing the models aren't making their code etc. available. That alone might be sufficient to make us unjustified in accepting their numbers. 

But if the predictions really are as wildly off as they seem to be...and the media aren't reporting on it (as they seem not to be)...this is a scandal of monumental proportions.
Though now the administration seems to be singing from the same hymnal as the media.

Of course the predictions of the models include extremely wide variances...and it looks like the actual numbers fall within them. But that doesn't help much, since the wide variances aren't really being reported on.

Again, there's a weird political divide in play. Look on lefty sites, it's all about how catastrophic things are, mostly focused on NYC and on how everything about the Trump administration is despicable. The NYT simply cannot resist reporting about it on the front page every time Trump mentions Hydroxychloroquine approvingly. On the right, it's mostly about how things are looking overblown, probably intentionally to some degree, as a way to promote progressive ends like sinking Trump, and about how the economic damage threatens to be worse than the medical threat / benefits of shutting everything down.

Most of what I see in the media is anecdotal--stories about overwhelmed emergency rooms, lack of PPE, and individual cases of the relatively young and healthy--many of them doctors and nurses--who have succumbed to the virus. It does seem that we're hearing a lot about looming shortfalls...not a lot of numbers about current ones.
And again I'll note: the media is reporting on new deaths and total deaths and on how the U.S. is now the world leader in them. They ignore the fact that China is almost certainly lying, and cite them approvingly as having beaten the thing. They don't report on death rates per capita, and don't report that predictions are looking awfully high compared to actual numbers.
Then there was the breathless NYT story about how deaths were "almost certainly" being underreported...which seems unlikely to me. They might be underreported...but I doubt they are "almost certainly" underreported.
I'm "almost certainly" missing something, though. That's just got to be right.