Wednesday, March 06, 2019

Drum: The Green New Deal Is a Joke; We Need Big Climate Ideas; How About Massive R&D

This is close to what I think...except I think I'm more skeptical of climate catastrophism than Drum is--not that my opinion on the topic should matter to anybody. Because it absolutely shouldn't. But even when I uncritically accepted the orthodoxy, my view was basically:
 If our survival can only be effected by either (a) most of us accepting small burdens / hits to our "life-style"s, or (b) scientists and engineers pulling off some miraculous technological wizardry...then godspeed to the scientists and engineers, because hey're our only hope.
   I'm not so much in favor of massive R&D--but I don't how the numbers come out if they're honestly assessed. I'd go with big, though. Undoubtedly somebody has numbers about how much R&D money the system can use effectively at a given time. I don't buy the tipping-point in a decade story... And my guess is that in a decade it'll still be a decade. My guess is that the tipping-point always has to be just far enough out that progressive policies have to be passed and implemented right now--no time to explain! The tipping-point can't be passed, nor so near in the future that action is hopeless...but it can't be so far out that there's time to calmly assess progressive preferences. 5-10 years seems pretty optimal to the ear of a layperson--that out to produce frantic but not panic.
   Or maybe we're just all gonna die.

3 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Are we not already devoting a ton of capital, public and private, to climate related R&D? I mean, just a simple example, Tesla's worth like 70 billion plus debt. They've probably raised a smaller amount of actual cash than that, but for just a single EV car brand, that's a lot.

12:03 PM  
Blogger Winston Smith said...

What you fail to take into account is that I don't know what I'm talking about.

1:02 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I wouldn't necessarily say that, but more importantly presumably Drum does if he's demanding more of it.

1:14 PM  

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