Might Trump Simply Have Peaked At The Right Time For the Primary?
The GOP primary race seemed to be one peaking candidate after another...could it have been that Trump was just the one who peaked at the right time? Maybe he isn't really a window into the soul of the Republican base... Maybe he just happened to be in the right place at the right time.
Though his peak did seem to last longer...though the guy peaking at the right time would probably have a longer peak...
Just thinking out loud.
Though his peak did seem to last longer...though the guy peaking at the right time would probably have a longer peak...
Just thinking out loud.
posted by Winston Smith at
3:07 PM
2 Comments:
Trump led the whole time (from at least August 2015 on) and was wildly more popular than any other candidate in the field. Ben Carson got within 7 points of him post-debate before flaming out, but all the other "surges" never really happened outside of wishful thinking (i.e. a candidate going from 4% - 11% wasn't really challenging Trump's 35%+ share)
Link
Is there anything more beautiful than a clearly-refuted hypothesis?
(With the exception, of course, of Carolina's fast break)
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