Saturday, March 28, 2020

Trump Understands What His Critics Don't: The Lockdown Is Unsustainable

This seems pretty obvious to me...but on the other side are the Imperial College arguments.
It's difficult to believe that there aren't better alternatives for less-dense areas.
If less-dense areas could keep functioning economically--at least largely--it would make the more draconian shutdowns in the denser areas somewhat less disastrous.
OTOH, depending on what the numbers look like, less-dense areas might not produce enough wealth to make it worth the risk.
The more I think about this, the more I trust the Diamond Princess data over the seemingly fairly speculative (or at least highly assumption-dependent) arguments of the Imperial College projections/predictions.
But what do I know?
Answer, in this case: not much.


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