Tuesday, September 27, 2016

Moskos: Spin This: The Biggest Murder Increase In 45 Years

Not. good.
   Also not good: it seems fairly clear that the left is doing it's thing and trying to spin, spin, spin this away. Well, it's the right's thing, too, of course. But I've so given up on those guys that I barely even get mad at em anymore. 
   Google 'Ferguson effect.' It's depressing as hell. Liberal source: no. Conservative source: yes. Liberal source: no. Conservative source: maybe. Liberal source: hell no. Conservative source: obviously. Liberal source: hell no you racist...and so on...  


Anonymous Lewis Carroll said...

All true Winston...more here:


Instead of denying, real liberals should work on trying to determine 1) whether this is just a temporary spike or 2) whether it is the reversal of the previous trend and beginning of a new one.

As for the second question, there is some evidence that the uptick is subsiding:

"Criminologists, though, say it’s too soon to draw conclusions. “Snapshots are not trends. And two or three years of data are far too few to establish a trend,” Richard A. Berk, professor of criminology and statistics at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School, told us in an email.
Darrel Stephens, executive director of the Major Cities Chiefs Police Association, also told us it was “too soon to talk about trends.” Stephens wrote in an email to FactCheck.org: “We have seen a spike in the past year in some large cities (particularly in five or six) — something we should be concerned about to be sure but not a trend or even close to 20 years ago.”

From: http://www.factcheck.org/2016/07/dueling-claims-on-crime-trend/

But there is no way to know without longer term data.

9:51 AM  
Blogger Winston Smith said...

Some cause for optimism.

As for trying to figure out the facts and then deal with them, I couldn't agree more. One thing that drew me toward liberalism as a kid as that I thought they were better at that, and conservatives were more dogmatic and less responsive to facts.

I don't think I think that anymore. But of course I agree that that's what we *should* do.

9:59 AM  

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