The trouble with this assessment is that it assumes peak coal is right around the corner, and that it will be a fairly sudden drop. There is a link to graphs of the various scenarios in the comments of that article. It implies that the likeliest case is somewhere between 6.0 and 8.5 scenarios unless there is a radical change in coal use. With a soft peak, that won't happen.
The trouble with this assessment is that it assumes peak coal is right around the corner, and that it will be a fairly sudden drop. There is a link to graphs of the various scenarios in the comments of that article. It implies that the likeliest case is somewhere between 6.0 and 8.5 scenarios unless there is a radical change in coal use. With a soft peak, that won't happen.
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